By David C. Gompert, Paul K. Davis, Stuart E. Johnson, Duncan Long
In a fluid worldwide defense setting comparable to ours, assessing the prices, dangers, and certain effects of other nationwide safeguard recommendations is as not easy because it is vital. The authors express how, even within the face of uncertainty, the prices and different implications of any process might be assessed by way of studying the features wanted through U.S. combatant instructions
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S. interests and credibility, not to mention the purposes of that strategy. Either way, embarking on a strategy without understanding its resource requirements is perilous. This problem lies at the heart of the Joint Staﬀ’s request that RAND ﬁnd a way to perform “resource-informed” analysis of strategic 15 16 Analysis of Strategy and Strategies of Analysis choice. Speciﬁcally, at times when the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staﬀ (JCS) is expected to give the Secretary of Defense advice on national defense strategy, the secretary—indeed, the nation—would be well served if that advice were informed by rough but realistic estimates of the costs of the strategy or of alternative strategies under discussion.
Because the United States is a world power with diverse interests and responsibilities, it must pursue a portfolio of multiple strategic goals. Given scarce resources, these goals compete with one another for capabilities and resources. Decisionmakers must have a clear sense of priority among these goals and strike a balance among them. As with other 14 Of course, this is not limited to complex enterprises. Individuals can use diﬀerent investment instruments to pursue their various ﬁnancial goals.
Central Command (CENTCOM); yet the full cost of accomplishing CENTCOM’s objectives—obviously an important ﬁgure—is not readily available. Summing up, despite the obvious importance, it is diﬃcult to relate the expected results of global defense strategy to the expected costs of achieving those results, especially at that critical time when a change in strategy is under consideration. The result, once again, can be strategy that is unsustainable or unjustiﬁable. The challenge for DoD is to look at strategy and determine resource implications.
Analysis of Strategy and Strategies of Analysis by David C. Gompert, Paul K. Davis, Stuart E. Johnson, Duncan Long